Liberty Energy Lands a 1.2 GW AI Power Deal, Misses on Earnings as Shares Slide 7.8%

The Denver frac company’s third-quarter sales rose 26% from a year ago, and it raised its dividend 11%. But adjusted earnings came in below forecasts, and a markdown on investments pushed it to a $39 million net loss. Liberty Energy (NYSE: LBRT), a top North American frac company, reported its

The Denver frac company’s third-quarter sales rose 26% from a year ago, and it raised its dividend 11%. But adjusted earnings came in below forecasts, and a markdown on investments pushed it to a $39 million net loss.

Liberty Energy (NYSE: LBRT), a top North American frac company, reported its third-quarter results after the market closed on Wednesday, Oct. 21, as scheduled (Liberty). Revenue rose 26% from a year earlier to $1.2 billion. And its power business, Liberty Power Innovations (LPI), signed an agreement to supply 1.2 gigawatts of power to data-center campuses for “a leading frontier AI lab” that Liberty did not name (Liberty).

Liberty posted a net loss of $39 million, or $(0.24) a share, versus a $43 million profit a year earlier, mostly because of a $63 million loss on investments, which Liberty excludes from its adjusted figures. Adjusted net income was $10 million, or $0.06 a share (Liberty). That missed forecasts of 8 cents (six analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research) and 7 cents (Investing.com’s consensus). Revenue beat Zacks’ $1.17 billion but trailed Investing.com’s $1.21 billion (AP; Investing.com). Adjusted EBITDA was $142 million, up 11% from a year earlier but down 6% from the second quarter.

Shares rose as much as 7.7%, to $17.97, just after the 8:30 a.m. CT open, gave most of that back within 15 minutes, then fell further during and after the 9 a.m. CT call. They closed at $15.38 (3:00 p.m. CT), down 7.8% from Wednesday’s $16.69 close and not far above the 52-week low of $14.76 (Yahoo Finance; ENB calculation).

“Liberty’s completions trajectory has improved meaningfully from early year cyclical lows. Strong customer engagement and strengthening market fundamentals provide a more constructive outlook as we close out the year,” CEO Ron Gusek said in the release (Liberty).

Results from Liberty’s Q3 2026 earnings release; consensus from Zacks via AP and Investing.com; share price from Yahoo Finance. Margin is an ENB calculation. Chart: Energy News Beat.

Frac fleets: busy, with modest price gains

Liberty did not give a fleet count. Gusek said the quarter “reflected strong operational execution and modest price increases, partially offset by drilling-related delays and cost inflation headwinds” (Liberty). On the call, he called the drilling delays “a bit of a singularity rather than something we should expect to carry on.” The market is tight: “There is not capacity sitting around looking for work to complete. Our calendar is full.” Liberty will “continue to work pricing upwards over the coming quarters,” he said (Benzinga, Investing.com and Motley Fool transcripts).

Customers saved on fuel. “Record natural gas substitution of over 60% of the total fuel consumed by our fleets provided annualized fuel savings of over $1 billion for our customers,” Gusek said (Liberty).

Guidance: a milder winter slowdown

Liberty gave no numeric fourth-quarter forecast. “Looking forward, we expect fourth quarter weather and holiday seasonality to be partially offset by continued strength in demand, including activity deferred from the third quarter,” Gusek said (Liberty). Executives expect a “slightly smaller than normal” seasonal dip. CFO Michael Stock said the full-year capital budget is “still intact.” A 2027 outlook comes next quarter (transcripts above).

LPI: power for AI, and a prepayment

The LPI deal targets a first energy service agreement for about 500 megawatts by December 2026, phased in from late 2027 through early 2029. It includes “a significant prepayment of capacity fees” (Liberty). Executives put it at “hundreds of millions of dollars,” due soon and not contingent on the first contract. Stock put the figure at $300 million (Investing.com transcript). Contracts would run 15 years (Benzinga, Investing.com and Motley Fool transcripts).

Liberty argues that on-site power “can reduce pressure on existing grid infrastructure and limit the need for costly transmission investment, helping mitigate impacts on local ratepayers and communities” (Liberty).

Dividend, buybacks and the balance sheet

After paying $0.09 a share ($15 million) in the third quarter, the board raised the payout to $0.10, payable Dec. 18 to holders of record on Dec. 4. At $15.38, that is about a 2.6% annual yield (ENB calculation). Liberty cited no share buybacks for the quarter. Net capital spending and long-term deposits were $622 million, about $450 million of it for power generation (Liberty; transcripts above).

Gusek closed the call with a plea: “Put simply, we need to build.” He added, “A growing nation requires a growing energy system” (Liberty video; transcripts above).

Stu’s conversations with Ron Gusek

Stu has sat down with Gusek twice on the Energy News Beat Podcast: in August 2025, “How Liberty Energy Plans to Power AI Data Centers and Dominate U.S. Energy with Gas + Nuclear” (YouTube; Apple Podcasts), and in March 2026, “Energy Security and Energy Dominance Matter” (Energy News Beat; YouTube).

Stu’s Take (opinion) 

A $39 million loss looks scary, but it came from a $63 million markdown on investments. The business still earned $142 million of adjusted EBITDA. I care less about a penny-or-two miss than about 1.2 gigawatts of AI power and a prepayment executives called “hundreds of millions of dollars.”

With diesel tight, fleets getting over 60% of their fuel from natural gas is just smart. Wall Street sold the stock 7.8% today. I think it’s watching the wrong number.

Sources

Note: The call transcripts appear to be machine-generated. Call quotes used here appear in the cited transcripts; where speaker labels differ, ENB attributes to “executives.”

The post Liberty Energy Lands a 1.2 GW AI Power Deal, Misses on Earnings as Shares Slide 7.8% appeared first on Energy News Beat.

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Stu

Sandstone Group

Founded in 2019 as a boutique oil and gas financial advisory firm, Sandstone Group has grown into a comprehensive energy consultancy with divisions in financial advisory, media, and asset management. Our vision is to eliminate energy poverty worldwide by bridging innovative technologies, capital, and thought leadership.

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